Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.007717 0.008668 0.009706 0.010927 0.012325 0.013880 0.015748
2025-02-09 0.006143 0.007420 0.008935 0.010875 0.013309 0.016284 0.020226
2025-02-16 0.005344 0.006770 0.008557 0.010982 0.014222 0.018449 0.024460
2025-02-23 0.004681 0.006156 0.008085 0.010827 0.014678 0.019980 0.027977
2025-03-02 0.004274 0.005805 0.007885 0.010964 0.015489 0.022028 0.032436
2025-03-09 0.003879 0.005417 0.007575 0.010884 0.015942 0.023571 0.036316
2025-03-16 0.003449 0.004929 0.007063 0.010436 0.015769 0.024115 0.038659
2025-03-23 0.003188 0.004660 0.006838 0.010384 0.016180 0.025592 0.042704
2025-03-30 0.003088 0.004619 0.006948 0.010854 0.017467 0.028629 0.049861
2025-04-06 0.002819 0.004292 0.006581 0.010515 0.017358 0.029273 0.052774
2025-04-13 0.002592 0.004013 0.006266 0.010224 0.017292 0.029967 0.055857
2025-04-20 0.002442 0.003846 0.006116 0.010197 0.017683 0.031522 0.060838
2025-04-27 0.002382 0.003827 0.006220 0.010642 0.019017 0.035084 0.070673
2025-05-04 0.002237 0.003655 0.006052 0.010587 0.019416 0.036906 0.077190
2025-05-11 0.002132 0.003544 0.005977 0.010692 0.020130 0.039446 0.085758
2025-05-18 0.001999 0.003371 0.005779 0.010540 0.020308 0.040883 0.092010
2025-05-25 0.001919 0.003287 0.005732 0.010674 0.021084 0.043705 0.102160
2025-06-01 0.001817 0.003155 0.005586 0.010596 0.021400 0.045544 0.110183
2025-06-08 0.001678 0.002945 0.005278 0.010161 0.020893 0.045425 0.113026
2025-06-15 0.001598 0.002839 0.005162 0.010111 0.021232 0.047345 0.121823
2025-06-22 0.001582 0.002855 0.005281 0.010567 0.022776 0.052413 0.140663
2025-06-29 0.001480 0.002698 0.005046 0.010238 0.022447 0.052740 0.145570
2025-07-06 0.001391 0.002559 0.004840 0.009956 0.022200 0.053248 0.151155